Great Toronto Area

Apr 2025 Update

GTA

4/25/20251 min read

red concrete building during daytime
red concrete building during daytime
Greater Toronto Area Housing Market: March 2025 Overview

The GTA real estate landscape revealed a tug-of-war between cautious demand and surging supply, with prices stabilizing modestly as inventory hit historic highs.


Price Trends
  • Average Home Price: $1,093,254

    • ​**-2.5% year-over-year** (vs. March 2024)

    • ​**+0.8% month-over-month** (vs. February 2025)


Inventory Surge
  • Active Listings: 23,462

    • ​**+20% month-over-month**

    • ​**+88% year-over-year** (highest March total in ​16 years)

  • New Listings: 17,263 (+43% from February), signaling heightened seller urgency.


Sales Activity
  • Homes Sold: 5,011

    • ​**+24% month-over-month** (seasonal rebound)

    • ​**-24% year-over-year** (persistent buyer caution)


Key Dynamics
  1. Seller Momentum Outpaces Demand: The record influx of listings—driven by fears of ​U.S. trade volatility and ​shifting immigration policies—has tilted the market toward buyers, despite modest monthly price gains.

  2. Buyer Hesitation: While sales rose seasonally, the ​24% annual decline underscores lingering economic uncertainty, with purchasers delaying decisions amid macroeconomic headwinds.

  3. Price Vulnerability: The swelling inventory-to-sales ratio suggests downward pressure on prices could intensify unless demand rebounds sharply.


Outlook

The GTA market sits at a crossroads: sellers are racing to list properties ahead of potential policy shifts, while buyers await clearer signals on interest rates and trade stability. This imbalance may fuel a ​buyer’s market in spring 2025, with negotiation leverage shifting away from homeowners.